Букридеры и электронные книги в 2020. Что-то типа форсайта

Expect prices to drop to $50 by 2020. Color display technology development will be especially important and will replace black and white displays by 2015 and by 2020 95% of all displays will be color. Flexible displays will replace rigid displays and will allow the reader to be rolled or folded. Will fall into 3 categories: rigid displays; bendable displays, which will be seen this year; rollable and foldable displays, and will take 7% of the market by 2020. 30% ereaders will use multiple wireless communication technologies. Ereaders will begin to communicate among themselves as well as to content systems. Input technology will move to multi-touch display and expect it to be standard interface by 2020.

Content formats will change. Currently have 38 different content formats. Main battle will be between PDF, xml based and Flash. By 2020 all the formats will be xml based. Current epaper displays will be phased out. Expect reader sales to reach 25 billion in 2020. By 2012 will diverge into a family of ereader prices with different designs and displays depending on content requirements. Will be 4 categories: rollable and foldable, under 9″ size; conventional ebook ereader with display under 9″; newspaper ereaders with large monochrome displays and will be used for paper replacement of all types and have monochrome displays; magazine reader with an over 9″ color display. These won’t appear until 2013 with bendable displays and after this introduction by 2015 they will overtake other displays and will dominate the market by 2020. So by 2015 the multiple classes of ereaders will start to converge again. Current iPad not designed for ereading and it is an afterthought: poor battery life, poor display in sunlight, heavy and fragile displays. The dedicated ereader will probably disappear and will be replaced by a tablet based portable computer that is also suitable for ereading.

Display technology: expects current eink technology will fall away because of color and speed problems. Qualcomm technology is highly promising but are limited in size. Need both color and flexibility and feels that Liquavista offers the best option for the future because of its video speed, high quality color and flexibility.

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Новый пятилетний план Обамы: всем школам перейти на эл.учебники

Education Secretary Arne Duncan and Federal Communications Commission chairman Julius Genachowski on Wednesday challenged schools and companies to get digital textbooks in students’ hands within five years.

План неплохой. Ещё бы стандарты были. А то K8 в лес, а iBooks по дрова.

Widescript – облачная читалка в аренду

We make a high-quality cloud-based e-book reader for publishers.

Вот ещё вариант: фирма предлагает издателям получить свою “собственную” облачную читалку, которая, естественно, будет работать во всех устройствах с современными браузерами.
Попросил прислать демо-доступ, посмотреть — как же это оно изнутри. Заодно поинтересовался и ценами. Жду ответа.

Студия WALRUS сделала в iBooks Author журнал

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Смотреть, естественно, можно только в iBooks на iPad. Или как PDF ;)

Даже крохотное сумасбродное издательство занялось буктрейлерами: Ritual America – Feral House

Реклама новой книжки Feral House о масонской Америке.

Сет Годин о непиратстве

Web users have been trained long enough to know what they want: everything.

That’s the promise of the web. Every book for sale at Amazon. Every search result visible on Google. Every auctioned item right there on eBay.

Not piracy. Availability.

The music industry got confused about this and decided that people merely wanted to steal music. What’s clear now from the rise of iTunes as well as ad and subscriber-supported services like Spotify is that people will happily pay as long as it brings most everything along for the ride.

And Netflix shows us that subscriptions are generally more welcomed than a la carte sales.

Into this world walks the MPAA, the movie business and the folks who make books.

And once again, there’s the same mistake: they think piracy is the problem. It’s not. The problem is that these providers are doing nothing to embrace ubiquity, because their heritage is all about scarcity.

When the VHS came along, the MPAA insisted that the movie industry would be killed by it. They finally listened to the market and made a fortune. And when DVD came along, the same thing happened. Form factors change and the business model that supports them must change as well. The business model for an ebook can’t possibly be the same as it is for a paper book, despite the best efforts and hyperventilation of a few overpaid book publishing executives.

When in doubt, move toward ubiquity. When wondering, favor subscriptions.

Readers will pay.

Moviegoers will pay.

If you give them what they want, which is everything, right now, easily found and discussed.

Отличная картинка для календаря public domain

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Исландия – наше будущее

Finally, one of the biggest reasons why the Icelandic publishing industry is so vibrant is almost counter-intuitively that Icelandic authors are underpaid . . . and accept it. Before the translation boom, the only way even bestselling Icelandic authors could expect to make a (slim) living off of their books was through government grants and a day job.

К вопросу о голодных авторах.

Так листать электронные книги значительно приятнее – YouTube

Вниманию @falanster: продажи эл.книг независимыми книжными магазинами растёт. В США

Matt reported that the percentage of ebook sales to total sales on ABA member web sites rose from 0.7% to 5.2% in 2011. That’s a 750% increase, which is impressive even though the Google eBook capability kicked in during that year. But it is also actually understated, because the total volume of business on these sites rose by 82%. So the share increase of 750% is in an environment where total sales nearly doubled.

Онлайн торговля челнов Американской ассоциации проадцов книг выросла в 2011 году на 82%, при этом продажи ими электронных книг выросли в 7,5 раз и составили 5,2% выручки. Думаю, российским книжным магазинам, за исключением, разве что, «Москвы», до этого пока оооочень далеко. Хотя бы потому, что у них и онлайновых магазинов-то почти нет. Но почему бы не задуматься?

Клондайк

When I phoned Neil Gaiman last week to ask him about the stramash over Apple’s new iBooks Author app , he said publishing these days was like “the Klondike. Nobody knows what’s going on. All they know is that there’s gold in them thar hills and they want to try to get hold of it.”

Очень точное сравнение. Не потому что Нил Гейман, а потому, что ровно то же самое, только по-русски, сказал мне мой друг, издатель, который The Guardian не читает, несколько дней назад. Правда, он ещё пожелал не застолбить случайно «минусовый» участок…